Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002783 0.002908 0.003035 0.003174 0.003322 0.003475 0.003645
2025-02-16 0.002546 0.002734 0.002933 0.003159 0.003410 0.003680 0.003995
2025-02-23 0.002387 0.002610 0.002853 0.003136 0.003459 0.003818 0.004249
2025-03-02 0.002299 0.002552 0.002832 0.003167 0.003558 0.004004 0.004556
2025-03-09 0.002201 0.002474 0.002780 0.003153 0.003598 0.004117 0.004775
2025-03-16 0.002113 0.002400 0.002727 0.003131 0.003623 0.004208 0.004965
2025-03-23 0.002023 0.002318 0.002660 0.003088 0.003616 0.004255 0.005100
2025-03-30 0.001946 0.002248 0.002601 0.003050 0.003612 0.004303 0.005233
2025-04-06 0.001896 0.002208 0.002577 0.003052 0.003655 0.004409 0.005443
2025-04-13 0.001803 0.002112 0.002480 0.002959 0.003573 0.004351 0.005433
2025-04-20 0.001764 0.002081 0.002462 0.002963 0.003615 0.004452 0.005638
2025-04-27 0.001746 0.002074 0.002473 0.003004 0.003704 0.004618 0.005936
2025-05-04 0.001691 0.002021 0.002425 0.002968 0.003691 0.004648 0.006049
2025-05-11 0.001650 0.001984 0.002397 0.002956 0.003710 0.004721 0.006226
2025-05-18 0.001608 0.001944 0.002362 0.002934 0.003714 0.004772 0.006373
2025-05-25 0.001590 0.001933 0.002365 0.002962 0.003787 0.004921 0.006668
2025-06-01 0.001555 0.001901 0.002339 0.002950 0.003802 0.004988 0.006844
2025-06-08 0.001520 0.001867 0.002309 0.002930 0.003805 0.005038 0.006995
2025-06-15 0.001478 0.001823 0.002265 0.002890 0.003778 0.005042 0.007073
2025-06-22 0.001441 0.001783 0.002226 0.002855 0.003757 0.005054 0.007162
2025-06-29 0.001419 0.001764 0.002213 0.002857 0.003789 0.005143 0.007379
2025-07-06 0.001365 0.001702 0.002140 0.002772 0.003691 0.005034 0.007270
2025-07-13 0.001347 0.001686 0.002131 0.002776 0.003724 0.005125 0.007491